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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Carlisle United

Swindon
0 - 2
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (42'), Armstrong (72')
Jones (47'), Harper (49'), Wyke (79')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 4-0 Newport
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
46.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 24.74% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.83% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.028999999999996 0.03)46.94% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03)69.19% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.024999999999991 0.02)20.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.34% (0.041000000000004 0.04)52.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)66.06% (0.0029999999999859 0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.41%
    Carlisle United 28.85%
    Draw 24.73%
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Shade (80')
Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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