MX23RW : Tuesday, April 11 01:05:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Barrow
Bradford City
Carlisle United
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
Hartlepool United
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
Newport County
Northampton Town
Rochdale
Salford City
Stevenage
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK at The County Ground
Swindon
1 - 2
Carlisle
Shade (80')
Wakeling (17'), Austin (58'), Clayton (70'), Shade (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Guy (9'), McCalmont (56'), Moxon (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
41.94% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.19% (-0.029 -0.03) 31.87% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.66% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (0.184 0.18)51.77% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.158 0.16)73.53% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)24.43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.23399999999999 0.23)30.31% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.278 0.28)66.49% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.93%
    Carlisle United 31.87%
    Draw 26.18%
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.87%

How you voted: Swindon vs Carlisle

Swindon Town
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient402312554272781
2Northampton TownNorthampton412013855381773
3Stockport CountyStockport4120101157332470
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle411913960372370
5Stevenage401913854371770
6Bradford CityBradford401814851351668
7Salford City411991364481666
8Mansfield TownMansfield4018111164491565
9BarrowBarrow41187164647-161
10Sutton UnitedSutton411512144245-357
11Tranmere RoversTranmere411411163942-353
12Swindon TownSwindon401312155250251
13Walsall411118124240251
14Grimsby Town401312154451-751
15Doncaster RoversDoncaster41156204157-1651
16Crewe AlexandraCrewe401115143951-1248
17AFC Wimbledon421114174551-647
18Newport CountyNewport401114154147-647
19Gillingham411211182944-1547
20Colchester UnitedColchester411012193947-842
21Harrogate TownHarrogate40914174759-1241
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool41815184870-2239
23Crawley TownCrawley41911214368-2538
24Rochdale4189243962-2333

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!