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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a win it was 1-0 (6.02%).
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Swindon Town |
21.39% | 23% | 55.61% |
Both teams to score 53.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% | 45.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% | 68.29% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% | 35.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.57% | 72.43% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% | 16.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.99% | 46.01% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 6.02% 2-1 @ 5.62% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-3 @ 5.94% 0-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.69% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.39% 1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
3 | Stevenage | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 63 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 55 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
14 | Walsall | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 44 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 42 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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