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Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami
NY City
1 - 0
Inter Miami
McVey (36' og.)
Cufre (32'), Ilencic (53'), Pellegrini (70'), Gray (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Negri (6'), Mota (47'), Yedlin (51'), Krivtsov (59')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY City
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Inter Miami

Bringing back two veterans familiar with the New York way of playing should improve the Pigeons' across the board, while we believe Talles Magno could be due for a big match. The Herons have got the job done, but they have still allowed some quality scoring opportunities, while playing on the road is not their strong suit.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
61.39% (-0.337 -0.34) 20.62% (0.155 0.16) 17.99% (0.184 0.18)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.4 -0.4)40.21% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.412 -0.41)62.58% (0.415 0.41)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)12.63% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-0.456 -0.46)38.76% (0.458 0.46)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)35.83% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.035 -0.04)72.61% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 61.39%
    Inter Miami 17.99%
    Draw 20.62%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Inter Miami
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 12am
First Round
NY City
3-0
Inter Miami
Pereira (63'), Moralez (69'), Heber (90+2')

Lassiter (58')
Aug 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
3-2
NY City
Pozuelo (39', 84'), Lassiter (63')
Gregore (32'), Taylor (48'), Pozuelo (84')
Magno (34'), Andrade (45+2')
Morales (41'), Amundsen (55'), Chanot (77'), Rodriguez (86')
Jul 24, 2022 12am
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati31198453351865
2Orlando City31159749371254
3New England RevolutionNew England301410651371452
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia31149853371651
5Columbus Crew31148962431950
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta311310861471449
7Nashville SCNashville3012993628845
8New York City FCNY City32814103437-338
9DC United32910134346-337
10Chicago Fire31910123547-1237
11CF MontrealMontreal31114163048-1837
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13Inter MiamiInter Miami3096153846-833
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15Toronto31410172651-2522

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City321751062402256
2Seattle SoundersSeattle31121093731646
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30129944341045
4Houston DynamoHouston31128114235744
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver311110105147443
6Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30127114245-343
7Portland TimbersPortland321110114451-743
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes321012103741-442
9Dallas311011103534141
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31911113941-238
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas32108144248-638
12Austin FCAustin3198144350-735
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30811114554-935
14Colorado RapidsColorado31511152447-2326

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