Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.