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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
4 - 4
Cincinnati
Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami return home where they will be looking to restore some pride following their humbling defeat at the hands of Barcelona. They have won four of their last five home matches in the league and we are backing them to continue this fine run and claim all three points against a floundering Cincinnati side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
38.38% (-0.283 -0.28) 25.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.71% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (0.035999999999994 0.04)49.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.82% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)25.42% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.186 -0.19)60.24% (0.189 0.19)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (0.187 0.19)26.93% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (0.244 0.24)62.26% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 38.38%
    FC Cincinnati 35.71%
    Draw 25.91%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.71%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

Inter Miami
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
FC Cincinnati
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Cincinnati
3-1
Inter Miami
Matarrita (18'), Vazquez (24', 82')
Matarrita (33'), Moreno (56'), Kann (90+1')
Higuain (30' pen.)
Mo (47'), Gregore (53'), Lowe (78')
Oct 24, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
5-1
Cincinnati
Higuain (6'), Higuain (53'), Vassilev (69'), Morgan (75'), Carranza (85')
Matuidi (47')
Vazquez (21')
Blackett (44')
Cruz (90+6')
Sep 5, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
0-1
Inter Miami
Shea (90')
Shea (18'), Gregore (62'), Figal (69'), Matuidi (73')
May 16, 2021 9pm
Cincinnati
2-3
Inter Miami
Martin Barreal (59'), Hagglund (83')
Matarrita (14'), Harris (40'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (41'), Cruz (66'), Cameron (70')
Shea (7'), Higuain (38', 85')
Guediri (23'), Gregore (88'), Gonzalez Pirez (88')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Cincinnati
Ambrose (19'), Gonzalez Pirez (23')
Reyes (62')
Reyes (88')
Gyau (66')
Gyau (4'), Hagglund (21')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati33208555371868
2Orlando City33179753391460
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia331510856391755
4Columbus Crew33159965452054
5New England RevolutionNew England321410854421252
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta331311964511350
7Nashville SCNashville321210103629746
8CF MontrealMontreal33125163550-1541
9DC United341010144549-440
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls331010133539-440
11Chicago Fire331010133950-1140
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC32912114250-839
13New York City FCNY City33814113439-538
14Inter MiamiInter Miami3296173951-1233
15Toronto33410192657-3122

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City331751162431956
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles331491053381551
3Seattle SoundersSeattle33131193932750
4Houston DynamoHouston331391148371148
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver331211105447747
6Real Salt LakeSalt Lake32137124548-346
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes331013103842-443
8Portland TimbersPortland331110124555-1043
9Dallas321012103635142
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd331011124548-341
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas33118144550-541
12Austin FCAustin33108154854-638
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy32811134861-1335
14Colorado RapidsColorado32511162552-2726

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