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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
52.98% | 23.41% | 23.61% |
Both teams to score 55.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.72% | 45.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.38% | 67.62% |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% | 17.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.78% | 47.22% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.78% | 33.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.17% | 69.83% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 5.23% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
2 | Orlando City | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 54 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 50 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 46 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 41 |
9 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 40 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 39 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 33 |
15 | Toronto | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 56 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 48 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 47 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 43 |
9 | Dallas | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 38 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 26 |