Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 0
River Plate

Rodriguez (34')
Ramirez (88'), Lacoste (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Cerro
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Racing
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawRiver Plate
30.38% (-1.598 -1.6)29.15% (-0.483 -0.48)40.46% (2.077 2.08)
Both teams to score 43.56% (0.8 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (1.199 1.2)63% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (0.858 0.86)82.46% (-0.863 -0.86)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (-0.544 -0.54)37.28% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.54 -0.54)74.06% (0.535 0.53)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (1.861 1.86)30.54% (-1.867 -1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (2.155 2.16)66.76% (-2.161 -2.16)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 30.38%
    River Plate 40.45%
    Draw 29.15%
CerroDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 13.5% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.334 0.33)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.328 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.282 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.119 0.12)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.139 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.45%

How you voted: Cerro vs River Plate

Cerro
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
River Plate
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
River Plate
3-2
Cerro
Castro (23'), Rivero (27'), Alfonso (90+4')
Rodriguez (17'), Magallanes (90+2')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
River Plate
1-2
Cerro
Gonzalez (28')
Quintana (35'), Arezo (54'), Olivera (90')
Cabrera (45+2'), Tancredi (56')
Gonzalez (16')
Feb 22, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro
0-0
River Plate
Paiva (32'), Brasil (66')
Gonzalez (86')
Ospitaleche (68'), Rodriguez (79'), Herrera (83'), Fernandez (84')
Oct 16, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 12
Cerro
3-2
River Plate
Viera (15'), Lopez (45' pen.), Acosta (79')
Gonzalez (33'), Lopez (65'), Nunez (74')
Gonzalez (48')
Rodriguez (26'), Alonso (50' pen.)
Mar 24, 2019 7pm
River Plate
2-1
Cerro
Plada (49'), Urruti (80')
Alonso (11'), Ospitaleche (35'), Ale (57')
Peraza (55')
Pellejero (11'), Brasil (16'), Alonso (58'), Roldan (74'), Tancredi (76'), Izquierdo (93')
Pellejero (82')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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