Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Servette had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.