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FC Zurich
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Letzigrund
Lugano
FC Zurich
3 - 0
Lugano
Afriyie (68', 76'), Okita (80')
Afriyie (71'), Daprela (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between FC Zurich and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Zurich

All competitions
Last Game: Servette 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Lugano 1-0 St Gallen
Saturday, July 29 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: FC Zurich 1-2 Lugano

 While FC Zurich have made a promising start to the season, Lugano have looked in excellent rhythm so far, and their record in this fixture from last season cannot be ignored. They won both away matches against this opponent last term by a one-goal margin, and we expect the same this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC ZurichDrawLugano
47.74% (-2.128 -2.13) 23.87% (0.522 0.52) 28.38% (1.603 1.6)
Both teams to score 58.44% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (-1.229 -1.23)43.35% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (-1.22 -1.22)65.74% (1.22 1.22)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-1.287 -1.29)18.32% (1.286 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-2.229 -2.23)49.4% (2.227 2.23)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (0.524 0.52)28.45% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (0.655 0.66)64.21% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 47.74%
    Lugano 28.39%
    Draw 23.86%
FC ZurichDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.276 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.286 0.29)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.438 0.44)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.331 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: FC Zurich vs Lugano

FC Zurich
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Lugano
50.0%
8
Head to Head
May 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 36
FC Zurich
2-3
Lugano
Simic (86'), Aiyegun (89')
Matthew (29'), Okita (50'), Katic (77'), Seiler (88')
Hajrizi (18'), Celar (41'), Steffen (90+4')
Espinoza (26'), Steffen (73')
Mar 11, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Aliseda (22'), Sabbatini (45+2')
Nov 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Steffen (12'), Aliseda (71')
Sep 3, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
FC Zurich
1-2
Lugano
Aiyegun (24')
Mets (9'), Avdijaj (26'), Rohner (60'), Selnaes (90')
Steffen (5'), El Amine Amoura (90')
Celar (19')
May 19, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 35
Lugano
2-1
FC Zurich
Sabbatini (4', 28')
Custodio (22'), Sabbatini (35')
Gogia (3')
Kamberi (41'), Gnonto (44'), Kramer (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Zurich106402291322
2Young Boys96212091120
3St GallenSt Gallen10532159618
4LuganoLugano95041815315
5Luzern104331314-115
6Yverdon Sport104331519-415
7Servette103431315-213
8FC WinterthurWinterthur103342123-212
9Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper102261215-38
10Lausanne SportLausanne102261318-58
11Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO9225917-88
12Basel91261321-85
> Swiss Super League Full Table
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