Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
-0.68) 
0.32) 
