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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Mainz logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 4
Mainz

Holtmann (84')
Krauss (45+1'), Sissoko (65'), Ordets (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Amiri (45+3'), Mwene (53'), Burkardt (73'), Nebel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 VfL Bochum
Friday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, May 4 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
43.11% (0.936 0.94)24.11% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)32.78% (-0.889 -0.89)
Both teams to score 60.08% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (-0.061 -0.06)42.26% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)64.67% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.389 0.39)19.81% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (0.624 0.62)51.88% (-0.626 -0.63)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.55 -0.55)25.07% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (-0.768 -0.77)59.75% (0.766 0.77)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.11%
    Mainz 05 32.78%
    Draw 24.1%
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.78%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Mainz

VfL Bochum
25.6%
Draw
16.3%
Mainz 05
58.1%
43
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Mainz
2-0
VfL Bochum
Burkardt (23', 69')

Hofmann (33'), Sissoko (45+7')
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Mainz
2-0
VfL Bochum
Burkardt (45+3' pen., 71')
Kohr (1'), Ajorque (8'), van den Berg (84'), Amiri (88')

Bernardo (33'), Osterhage (47'), Schlotterbeck (86')
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
VfL Bochum
2-2
Mainz
Stoger (21' pen.), Schlotterbeck (82')
Bernardo (51'), Paciencia (88'), Losilla (90+5')
Schlotterbeck (59' og.), Krauss (90+6')
Barreiro (15'), Kohr (20'), Jae-sung (71')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
5-2
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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