Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund
Saturday, March 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
44
We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Mainz 05
It is hard to say that Dortmund have improved under Kovac, and his side's poor form at home may continue on the weekend. Mainz have been excellent for some time and given they have also been strong on the road, they should be seen as clear favourites to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
59.44% ( -0) | 21.05% ( 0.19) | 19.5% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
