MX23RW : Thursday, June 5 01:47:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Augsburg logo

Mainz
0 - 0
Augsburg


Jenz (8'), Weiper (34'), Leitsch (76')
FT

Essende (43'), Zesiger (45+7'), Gouweleeuw (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Mainz
Friday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Augsburg

Although last season's corresponding fixture ended 1-0 to Mainz, this contest has typically been goal-laden since 2021, with both teams scoring. That pattern should continue this weekend as both teams share the spoils in round 21. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
50.92% (-0.927 -0.93) 24.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25% (0.929 0.93)
Both teams to score 54.75% (1 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (0.849 0.85)46.86% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (0.789 0.79)69.11% (-0.789 -0.79)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)18.42% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)49.59% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (1.255 1.26)32.89% (-1.255 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (1.369 1.37)69.46% (-1.37 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 50.91%
    Augsburg 25%
    Draw 24.07%
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25%

How you voted: Mainz vs Augsburg

Mainz 05
73.3%
Draw
22.2%
Augsburg
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Augsburg
2-3
Mainz
Schlotterbeck (25'), Essende (57')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')
Essende (70')
Sieb (13'), Burkardt (15', 49')
Hanche-Olsen (28'), Amiri (33'), Henriksen (56'), Widmer (90+7'), Kohr (90')
Amiri (35')
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
1-0
Augsburg
Van den Berg (43')
Jae-sung (35'), Kohr (90+7'), van den Berg (90+14')

Dahmen (45+5'), Gouweleeuw (90+8')
Pedersen (90+12')
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Demirovic (15', 45')
Dorsch (90+1'), Beljo (90+5')
Engels (62')
Ajorque (6')
Gruda (74'), Zentner (77'), Jae-sung (90+7')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
3-1
Augsburg
Jae-sung (21', 52'), Onisiwo (24')
Demirovic (28' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-2
Mainz
Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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