MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 21:28:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Augsburg logo

Mainz
0 - 0
Augsburg


Jenz (8'), Weiper (34'), Leitsch (76')
FT

Essende (43'), Zesiger (45+7'), Gouweleeuw (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Mainz
Friday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Augsburg

Although last season's corresponding fixture ended 1-0 to Mainz, this contest has typically been goal-laden since 2021, with both teams scoring. That pattern should continue this weekend as both teams share the spoils in round 21. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
50.92% (-0.927 -0.93) 24.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25% (0.929 0.93)
Both teams to score 54.75% (1 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (0.849 0.85)46.86% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (0.789 0.79)69.11% (-0.789 -0.79)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)18.42% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)49.59% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (1.255 1.26)32.89% (-1.255 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (1.369 1.37)69.46% (-1.37 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 50.91%
    Augsburg 25%
    Draw 24.07%
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25%

How you voted: Mainz vs Augsburg

Mainz 05
73.3%
Draw
22.2%
Augsburg
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Augsburg
2-3
Mainz
Schlotterbeck (25'), Essende (57')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')
Essende (70')
Sieb (13'), Burkardt (15', 49')
Hanche-Olsen (28'), Amiri (33'), Henriksen (56'), Widmer (90+7'), Kohr (90')
Amiri (35')
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
1-0
Augsburg
Van den Berg (43')
Jae-sung (35'), Kohr (90+7'), van den Berg (90+14')

Dahmen (45+5'), Gouweleeuw (90+8')
Pedersen (90+12')
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Demirovic (15', 45')
Dorsch (90+1'), Beljo (90+5')
Engels (62')
Ajorque (6')
Gruda (74'), Zentner (77'), Jae-sung (90+7')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
3-1
Augsburg
Jae-sung (21', 52'), Onisiwo (24')
Demirovic (28' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-2
Mainz
Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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