Werder Bremen

1 - 0

Mainz

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.