MX23RW : Friday, May 2 06:35:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Mainz

Bittencourt (14')
Friedl (26'), Stark (42'), Schmid (78'), Zetterer (90+1'), Weiser (90+8'), Lynen (90+2')
Werner (90+8'), Friedl (90+4'), Stark (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zentner (10'), (15'), Caci (44'), Jae-sung (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Mainz 05

Mainz could come under pressure from Werder Bremen given the hosts have been strong at home this season. However, Mainz boast an excellent defensive record, and they may hold out against Werder Bremen for large periods of the game, especially considering the Green-Whites have not always been productive in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
48.78% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.72% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75%43.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35%65.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)48.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.94% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 48.78%
    Mainz 05 27.5%
    Draw 23.72%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 48.78%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 27.5%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz

Werder Bremen
29.4%
Draw
22.4%
Mainz 05
48.3%
143
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Mainz
1-2
Werder Bremen
Jae-sung (27')
Kohr (45+1'), Caci (45'), Mwene (66')
Ducksch (8' pen.), Kohn (69')
Zetterer (60')
Friedl (60')
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen

Krauss (67'), Amiri (79'), Richter (87'), Caci (88')
Ducksch (2')
Stark (35'), Friedl (45'), Bittencourt (88')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Werder Bremen
4-0
Mainz
Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
2-2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!