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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Werder Bremen logo

St Pauli
0 - 2
Werder Bremen


Sinani (62'), Smith (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kohn (24'), Ducksch (54')
Stark (8'), Friedl (12'), Stage (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawWerder Bremen
41.83% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)24.21% (-0.026 -0.03)33.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.12% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (0.121 0.12)42.38% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (0.12 0.12)64.78% (-0.127 -0.13)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (0.038000000000011 0.04)20.43% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.065999999999995 0.07)52.87% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (0.079999999999998 0.08)24.43% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (0.114 0.11)58.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 41.83%
    Werder Bremen 33.96%
    Draw 24.2%
St PauliDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.96%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Werder Bremen

St Pauli
22.2%
Draw
20.0%
Werder Bremen
57.8%
45
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 29
St Pauli
1-1
Werder Bremen
Kyereh (43')
Ziereis (84')
Fullkrug (58')
Oct 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Werder Bremen
1-1
St Pauli
Ducksch (62')
Friedl (24'), Ducksch (50'), Rapp (54'), Schonfelder (88')
Ole Becker (67')
Medic (14'), Burgstaller (83')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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