Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | St Pauli |
| 74.3% ( | 15.18% ( | 10.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.87% ( | 31.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.46% ( | 52.54% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.89% ( | 7.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.09% ( | 25.91% ( |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( | 40.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.08% ( | 76.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 3-1 @ 8.02% ( 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 4-0 @ 5.83% ( 4-1 @ 5.3% ( 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 5-0 @ 3.08% ( 5-1 @ 2.8% ( 4-2 @ 2.41% ( 6-0 @ 1.36% ( 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 6-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.84% Total : 74.3% | 1-1 @ 6.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.18% | 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0-1 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 1-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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