MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:41:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
St Pauli

Wirtz (6'), Tah (21')
Hincapie (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guilavogui (84')
Guilavogui (37'), Saliakas (75'), Dzwigala (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli

Considering their injuries in the forward line, Leverkusen could struggle to create many chances in the final third, and St Pauli are unlikely to lose by multiple goals. However, the hosts' record at home is phenomenal, and they are in good form, so it would be surprising if they did not emerge victorious on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSt Pauli
74.3% (1.349 1.35) 15.18% (-0.529 -0.53) 10.53% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.87% (0.211 0.21)31.13% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.46% (0.246 0.25)52.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.89% (0.321 0.32)7.11% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.09% (0.82899999999999 0.83)25.91% (-0.823 -0.82)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.7% (-1.261 -1.26)40.3% (1.265 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.08% (-1.165 -1.17)76.93% (1.171 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 74.3%
    St Pauli 10.53%
    Draw 15.18%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSt Pauli
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 8.02% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.83% (0.31 0.31)
4-1 @ 5.3% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
5-1 @ 2.8% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.114 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.23% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 74.3%
1-1 @ 6.89% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.18%
1-2 @ 3.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.61% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.53%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs St Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen
84.1%
Draw
10.2%
St Pauli
5.7%
88
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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