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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
22.07% (![]() | 22.9% (![]() | 55.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% (![]() | 44.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% (![]() | 67.1% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.7% (![]() | 34.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.99% (![]() | 71.01% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.86% (![]() | 16.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.42% (![]() | 45.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 5.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 22.07% | 1-1 @ 10.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 10.09% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 55.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |