Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Boniface (4'), Hofmann (8')
Frimpong (68'), Tah (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Geschwill (45+5'), Arp (69' pen.)
Knudsen (60'), Weiner (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Holstein Kiel
64.52% ( -2.44)	18.37% ( 0.87)	17.11% ( 1.57)

Both teams to score 62.64% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.1% (

-1.17)

30.91% (

1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.73% (

-1.4)

52.27% (

1.4)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89% (

-0.84)

9.11% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.07% (

-2.07)

30.93% (

2.07)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

31.08% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

1.15)

67.4% (

-1.15)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 64.52%

Holstein Kiel 17.11%

Draw 18.37%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.27) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.18% Total : 64.52%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.37%	1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.27% Total : 17.11%