VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Bero (15'), Daschner (22')
Bero (39'), de Wit (48'), Passlack (78'), Hofmann (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Machino (35', 89')
Knudsen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawHolstein Kiel
43.84% (1.864 1.86)22.69% (-0.484 -0.48)33.47% (-1.388 -1.39)
Both teams to score 65.62% (1.403 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.88% (2.012 2.01)35.12% (-2.02 -2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.87% (2.208 2.21)57.12% (-2.217 -2.22)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (1.563 1.56)16.62% (-1.571 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55% (2.741 2.74)46.44% (-2.749 -2.75)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.205 0.2)21.3% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.32100000000001 0.32)54.23% (-0.329 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.84%
    Holstein Kiel 33.47%
    Draw 22.69%
VfL BochumDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.312 0.31)
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.266 0.27)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.252 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.206 0.21)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.154 0.15)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.538 -0.54)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.386 -0.39)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 33.47%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel

VfL Bochum
88.6%
Draw
9.1%
Holstein Kiel
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 27
VfL Bochum
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Zoller (5', 60')
Tesche (21'), Pantovic (62'), Zulj (90+1')
Muhling (81' pen.)
Wahl (60')
Dec 4, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Holstein Kiel
3-1
VfL Bochum
Muhling (31' pen.), Bartels (64'), Jae-sung (65')
Zoller (33')
Losilla (90+2')
May 27, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
VfL Bochum
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Osei-Tutu (49'), Ganvoula (63')
Gamboa (26'), Osei-Tutu (88'), Soares (90+3')
Meffert (74')
Young-Jae (48')
Oct 25, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Holstein Kiel
2-1
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (9'), Serra (52')
Baku (34'), Eberwein (38'), Meffert (45'), Muhling (67')
Ganvoula (38' pen.)
Ganvoula (49'), Eisfeld (65'), Wintzheimer (80'), Riemann (83'), Soares (92')
Feb 23, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 23
VfL Bochum
1-3
Holstein Kiel
Zoller (77')
Muhling (30'), Serra (32' pen.), Okugawa (41')
Meffert (14'), Okugawa (37'), Karazor (76')
rhs 2.0


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