Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
3 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Kramaric (6' pen., 37', 87')
Hlozek (14'), Moerstedt (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bernhardsson (63'), Machino (89')
Weiner (5'), Yobel Kelati (81')
Yobel Kelati (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wurzburger 2-2 Hoffenheim (3-4 pen.)
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Alemannia Aachen 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, August 17 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
41.69% ( 0.02)	22.44% ( 0.01)	35.87% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 67.31% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.8% (

-0.07)

33.2% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.05% (

-0.08)

54.95% (

0.08)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

-0.02)

16.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.44% (

-0.04)

46.56% (

0.04)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

-0.05)

19.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1% (

-0.07)

50.9% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 41.69%

Holstein Kiel 35.87%

Draw 22.44%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.69%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.87%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel

Hoffenheim

87.5%

Draw

12.5%

Holstein Kiel

0.0%

Head to Head

Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm

Second Round

Hoffenheim

5-1

Holstein Kiel

Van den Bergh (3' og.), Wahl (31' og.), Stiller (59'), Dabour (72'), Bruun Larsen (84')
Akpoguma (46')

Neumann (47')
Lorenz (68')

Form Guide

Wurzburger 2-2 Hoffenheim (3-4 pen.)

Hoffenheim 0-2 Fulham

Ipswich 1-0 Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim 2-2 Norwich

Hoffenheim 3-1 Elversberg

Hoffenheim 4-2 Bayern

Alemannia Aachen 2-3 Holstein Kiel

Borussia M'bach 1-0 Holstein Kiel

AB 1-0 Holstein Kiel

Hannover 1-2 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 1-1 Dusseldorf

Wiesbaden 0-1 Holstein Kiel

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table