Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz4 - 1Hoffenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Hoffenheim
While Mainz have struggled for consistency for the majority of the season, they are unbeaten at home under Bo Henriksen and won their last two games without conceding. Matches involving these two sides have not been short of goals of late and we are expecting another high-scoring encounter here, though we feel that there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
62.43% ( -0.02) | 20.17% | 17.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
