Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.6% (![]() | 23.73% (![]() | 57.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.48% (![]() | 52.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.82% (![]() | 74.17% (![]() |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% (![]() | 42.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.24% (![]() | 78.75% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% (![]() | 18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.13% (![]() | 48.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.55% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.6% | 1-1 @ 11.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.63% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 13.07% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.21% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |