Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
67
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Rio Ave
Monday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Famalicao
While Famalicao have been resilient at the back in recent weeks, Sporting's resurgence and attacking firepower — boasting a league-high 67 goals — gives them a strong chance of claiming victory, though they may have to grind it out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Famalicao |
60.88% ( 0.14) | 21.06% ( -0.03) | 18.07% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
