

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 18.93% ( | 22.65% ( | 58.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( | 47.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( | 69.93% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.78% ( | 39.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.07% ( | 75.93% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( | 16.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.64% ( | 45.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-1 @ 1.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.93% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-3 @ 6.43% ( 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0-4 @ 2.94% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 1-5 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
| 2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
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