

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 13.08% ( | 17.35% ( | 69.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.14% ( | 34.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.17% ( | 56.83% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.28% ( | 38.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.54% ( | 75.46% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% | 9.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.28% | 30.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.78% ( 1-0 @ 3.31% 2-0 @ 1.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 3-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 13.08% | 1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.35% | 0-2 @ 10.1% ( 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0-3 @ 8.11% ( 1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0-4 @ 4.88% ( 1-4 @ 4.63% ( 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0-5 @ 2.35% ( 1-5 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 2-5 @ 1.06% ( 0-6 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 69.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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