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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
52.94% (![]() | 23.03% (![]() | 24.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.84% (![]() | 43.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.45% (![]() | 65.55% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.7% (![]() | 16.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.13% (![]() | 45.87% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% (![]() | 31.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% (![]() | 68.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.77% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 10.76% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.19% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 24.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |