MX23RW : Thursday, June 5 01:37:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel


Rothe (40'), Ljubicic (45+2'), Volland (77'), Juranovic (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gigovic (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein must start collecting points if they are to give themselves any chance of avoiding the drop, but they could leave themselves vulnerable at the back if they push forward too quickly. However, Union could prove to be defensively frail themselves considering their poor record in recent weeks, and it would not be surprising if both teams scored. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHolstein Kiel
52.94% (-0.218 -0.22) 23.03% (0.134 0.13) 24.03% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.17% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)43.15% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (-0.523 -0.52)65.55% (0.52 0.52)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)16.3% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.13% (-0.486 -0.49)45.87% (0.484 0.48)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)31.7% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (-0.25 -0.25)68.12% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 52.94%
    Holstein Kiel 24.03%
    Draw 23.02%
Union BerlinDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.94%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 24.03%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel

Union Berlin
77.4%
Draw
22.6%
Holstein Kiel
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Union Berlin

Komenda (66'), Remberg (79')
Kemlein (18'), Rothe (89')
Ronnow (73')
Mar 1, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Union Berlin

van den Bergh (77'), Dehm (80'), Muhling (84')
Kroos (27'), Andersson (90')
Trimmel (55'), Schmiedebach (70'), Mees (83')
Sep 25, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Union Berlin
2-0
Holstein Kiel
Polter (90'), Promel (90')
Lenz (67')

Wahl (57')
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
Holstein Kiel
2-2
Union Berlin
Weilandt (9'), Drexler (19')
Weilandt (7'), Lewerenz (71')
Kinsombi (84')
Skrzybski (32'), Polter (85' pen.)
Hartel (22'), Kroos (71')
Aug 4, 2017 5.30pm
Union Berlin
4-3
Holstein Kiel
Kreilach (14'), Skrzybski (24', 52'), Hedlund (27')
Kroos (56'), Trimmel (81')
Schindler (12'), Pedersen (16' og.), Drexler (32')
Muhling (55'), Lenz (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!