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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel


Rothe (40'), Ljubicic (45+2'), Volland (77'), Juranovic (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gigovic (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein must start collecting points if they are to give themselves any chance of avoiding the drop, but they could leave themselves vulnerable at the back if they push forward too quickly. However, Union could prove to be defensively frail themselves considering their poor record in recent weeks, and it would not be surprising if both teams scored. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHolstein Kiel
52.94% (-0.218 -0.22) 23.03% (0.134 0.13) 24.03% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.17% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)43.15% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (-0.523 -0.52)65.55% (0.52 0.52)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)16.3% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.13% (-0.486 -0.49)45.87% (0.484 0.48)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)31.7% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (-0.25 -0.25)68.12% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 52.94%
    Holstein Kiel 24.03%
    Draw 23.02%
Union BerlinDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.94%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 24.03%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel

Union Berlin
77.4%
Draw
22.6%
Holstein Kiel
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Union Berlin

Komenda (66'), Remberg (79')
Kemlein (18'), Rothe (89')
Ronnow (73')
Mar 1, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Union Berlin

van den Bergh (77'), Dehm (80'), Muhling (84')
Kroos (27'), Andersson (90')
Trimmel (55'), Schmiedebach (70'), Mees (83')
Sep 25, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Union Berlin
2-0
Holstein Kiel
Polter (90'), Promel (90')
Lenz (67')

Wahl (57')
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
Holstein Kiel
2-2
Union Berlin
Weilandt (9'), Drexler (19')
Weilandt (7'), Lewerenz (71')
Kinsombi (84')
Skrzybski (32'), Polter (85' pen.)
Hartel (22'), Kroos (71')
Aug 4, 2017 5.30pm
Union Berlin
4-3
Holstein Kiel
Kreilach (14'), Skrzybski (24', 52'), Hedlund (27')
Kroos (56'), Trimmel (81')
Schindler (12'), Pedersen (16' og.), Drexler (32')
Muhling (55'), Lenz (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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