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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Frankfurt
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Larsson (18'), Tuta (37'), Uzun (60')
Dahoud (62'), Kristensen (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Porath (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL Bochum
Sunday, February 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 69.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHolstein Kiel
69.5% (0.010999999999996 0.01)16.85% (0.117 0.12)13.65% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.59% (-0.893 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.15% (-0.929 -0.93)30.85% (0.929 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.79% (-1.113 -1.11)52.2% (1.113 1.11)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)8.01% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76% (-0.586 -0.59)28.24% (0.586 0.59)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.79% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)35.21% (0.80500000000001 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03% (-0.849 -0.85)71.97% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 69.5%
    Holstein Kiel 13.65%
    Draw 16.85%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.285 0.29)
4-1 @ 4.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.31% (-0.066 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 69.5%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 16.85%
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.95% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel

Eintracht Frankfurt
88.9%
Draw
6.7%
Holstein Kiel
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Holstein Kiel
2-4
Frankfurt
Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')
Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')
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