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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Frankfurt
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Larsson (18'), Tuta (37'), Uzun (60')
Dahoud (62'), Kristensen (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Porath (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL Bochum
Sunday, February 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Holstein Kiel

Although Eintracht Frankfurt have found wins difficult to come by in recent weeks, they should be seen as clear favourites given their attacking strengths. Additionally, Holstein Kiel's defensive frailty has been concerning this term, and it is hard to see them being competitive on Sunday if they fail to address their issues in the backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 69.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHolstein Kiel
69.5% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 16.85% (0.117 0.12) 13.65% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.59% (-0.893 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.15% (-0.929 -0.93)30.85% (0.929 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.79% (-1.113 -1.11)52.2% (1.113 1.11)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)8.01% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76% (-0.586 -0.59)28.24% (0.586 0.59)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.79% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)35.21% (0.80500000000001 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03% (-0.849 -0.85)71.97% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 69.5%
    Holstein Kiel 13.65%
    Draw 16.85%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.285 0.29)
4-1 @ 4.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.31% (-0.066 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 69.5%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 16.85%
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.95% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Holstein Kiel

Eintracht Frankfurt
88.9%
Draw
6.7%
Holstein Kiel
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Holstein Kiel
2-4
Frankfurt
Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')
Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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