Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Remberg (23' og.), Gunter (38'), Grifo (74')
Kubler (58'), Gregoritsch (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Harres (85', 90')
Harres (37'), Gigovic (45+3'), Javorcek (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Freiburg
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Holstein Kiel
47.79% ( -1.41)	23.17% ( 0.38)	29.04% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 61.41% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.35% (

-1.1)

39.65% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38% (

-1.15)

62% (

1.15)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13% (

-0.93)

16.87% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.1% (

-1.68)

46.9% (

1.68)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

0.13)

26.13% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

0.18)

61.2% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 47.79%

Holstein Kiel 29.04%

Draw 23.16%

Freiburg	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.2% Total : 47.79%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.04%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel

Freiburg

82.9%

Draw

17.1%

Holstein Kiel

0.0%

Head to Head

Oct 31, 2018 7.45pm

Second Round

Holstein Kiel

2-1

Freiburg

Serra (26'), Kinsombi (79')
Dehm (51')

Petersen (1')
Petersen (90')

Form Guide

B. Leverkusen 5-1 Freiburg

Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim 1-1 Freiburg

Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Freiburg

Freiburg 3-1 Borussia M'bach

Dortmund 4-0 Freiburg

Holstein Kiel 5-1 Augsburg

Borussia M'bach 4-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 0-2 RB Leipzig

St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 0-3 Mainz

Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table