Borussia M'bach

4 - 1

Holstein Kiel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.