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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
52.63% (![]() | 22.5% (![]() | 24.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% (![]() | 39.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.79% (![]() | 62.21% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% (![]() | 15.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.11% (![]() | 43.89% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% (![]() | 29.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.83% (![]() | 65.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.7% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 10.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.34% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |