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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
69.08% (![]() | 16.77% (![]() | 14.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.79% (![]() | 29.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.77% (![]() | 50.23% (![]() |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.31% (![]() | 7.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.59% (![]() | 27.41% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% (![]() | 33.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% (![]() | 70.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.27% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.24% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.08% | 1-1 @ 7.22% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.77% | 1-2 @ 3.96% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 14.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |