Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Undav (19'), Bilal Toure (61')
Vagnomann (49'), Chabot (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gigovic (84')
Schulz (31'), Remberg (66'), Gigovic (71'), Geschwill (80'), Arp (81')
Arp (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Holstein Kiel
69.08% ( 0.07)	16.77% ( -0.04)	14.15% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.44% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.79% (

0.1)

29.21% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.77% (

0.13)

50.23% (

-0.13)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.31% (

0.04)

7.69% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.59% (

0.1)

27.41% (

-0.11)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

0.02)

33.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

0.03)

70.07% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 69.08%

Holstein Kiel 14.15%

Draw 16.77%

Stuttgart	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.08%	1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.77%	1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 14.15%