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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Undav (19'), Bilal Toure (61')
Vagnomann (49'), Chabot (63')
Chabot (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gigovic (84')
Schulz (31'), Remberg (66'), Gigovic (71'), Geschwill (80'), Arp (81')
Arp (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel

Given the energy that Stuttgart expended against Juventus, it would not be surprising if they looked somewhat disjointed in the opening stages of the game. However, it is difficult to look past Holstein Kiel's poor form this season, and the hosts should be strong favourites heading into Saturday's match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawHolstein Kiel
69.08% (0.071999999999989 0.07) 16.77% (-0.038 -0.04) 14.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.79% (0.102 0.1)29.21% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.77% (0.126 0.13)50.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (0.040000000000006 0.04)7.69% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59% (0.10299999999999 0.1)27.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.44% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.025000000000002 0.03)70.07% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 69.08%
    Holstein Kiel 14.15%
    Draw 16.77%
StuttgartDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.79% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.08%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 14.15%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel

Stuttgart
87.1%
Draw
12.9%
Holstein Kiel
0.0%
70
Head to Head
May 24, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Holstein Kiel
3-2
Stuttgart
Iyoha (7'), Dehm (78'), Lauberbach (79')
Iyoha (40'), Porath (69')
Gonzalez (59' pen.), Wamangituka (86')
Karazor (26'), Didavi (41')
Didavi (45')
Oct 20, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Stuttgart
0-1
Holstein Kiel

Badstuber (30'), Ascacibar (73')
Badstuber (53')
Jae-sung (55')
van den Bergh (38'), Schmidt (63')
Aug 8, 2015 7.30pm
First Round
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Stuttgart
Czichos (37')
Hermann (43')
Didavi (41'), Ginczek (60')
Gruezo (58'), Rupp (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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