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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Union Berlin |
30.38% (![]() | 25.5% (![]() | 44.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% (![]() | 49.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% (![]() | 71.48% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% (![]() | 30.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.7% (![]() | 66.3% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.64% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% (![]() | 55.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 8.08% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 12.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 10.09% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.11% |