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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Union Berlin logo

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
Union Berlin


Komenda (66'), Remberg (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kemlein (18'), Rothe (89')
Ronnow (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawUnion Berlin
30.38% (-0.428 -0.43)25.5% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)44.11% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.064 -0.06)49.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)71.48% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.328 -0.33)30.15% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.395 -0.39)66.3% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.185 0.19)22.36% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (0.277 0.28)55.85% (-0.275 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 30.39%
    Union Berlin 44.11%
    Draw 25.49%
Holstein KielDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.39%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 10.09% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.035 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.11%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin

Holstein Kiel
12.7%
Draw
20.3%
Union Berlin
67.1%
79
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Union Berlin

van den Bergh (77'), Dehm (80'), Muhling (84')
Kroos (27'), Andersson (90')
Trimmel (55'), Schmiedebach (70'), Mees (83')
Sep 25, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Union Berlin
2-0
Holstein Kiel
Polter (90'), Promel (90')
Lenz (67')

Wahl (57')
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
Holstein Kiel
2-2
Union Berlin
Weilandt (9'), Drexler (19')
Weilandt (7'), Lewerenz (71')
Kinsombi (84')
Skrzybski (32'), Polter (85' pen.)
Hartel (22'), Kroos (71')
Aug 4, 2017 5.30pm
Union Berlin
4-3
Holstein Kiel
Kreilach (14'), Skrzybski (24', 52'), Hedlund (27')
Kroos (56'), Trimmel (81')
Schindler (12'), Pedersen (16' og.), Drexler (32')
Muhling (55'), Lenz (64')