Augsburg logo
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga

Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Hoffenheim logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Rothe (4'), Woo-yeong (6')
Siebatcheu (23'), Vertessen (85'), Rothe (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bulter (67')
Kaderabek (50'), Bischof (79'), Tohumcu (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
45.78% (0.24 0.24)23.93% (-0.152 -0.15)30.28% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 59.48% (0.475 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (0.648 0.65)42.54% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (0.642 0.64)64.94% (-0.643 -0.64)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (0.357 0.36)18.79% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.8% (0.595 0.59)50.2% (-0.594 -0.59)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (0.265 0.27)26.76% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (0.345 0.34)62.04% (-0.346 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 45.78%
    Hoffenheim 30.28%
    Draw 23.93%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.28%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim

Union Berlin
79.2%
Draw
14.6%
Hoffenheim
6.3%
48
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Union Berlin

Nsoki (45'), Kaderabek (86')
Nsoki (45+4')
Aaronson (84')
Volland (45'), Doekhi (45+9'), Leite (89')
Volland (45+6')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
0-2
Hoffenheim

Tousart (72')
Kramaric (22' pen.), Beier (38')
Kramaric (45+4'), Stach (54'), Ole Becker (89')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
4-2
Union Berlin
Bebou (22'), Kramaric (36' pen., 90'), Dabour (90+9')
Promel (81'), Kramaric (90+1'), Stiller (90+8'), Dabour (90+8')
Doekhi (45+4'), Laidouni (90+5')
Leite (35'), Haberer (39'), Baumgartl (79'), Roussillon (86'), Becker (87')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
3-1
Hoffenheim
Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Bebou (43')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!