

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 36.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.87%).
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 36.69% (  -0.13) | 25.22% (  0.09) | 38.08% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 56.97% (  -0.33) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.32% (  -0.43) | 46.67% (  0.42) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.06% (  -0.4) | 68.94% (  0.4) | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.1% (  -0.27) | 24.9% (  0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.48% (  -0.37) | 59.51% (  0.36) | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.85% (  -0.17) | 24.14% (  0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.54% (  -0.25) | 58.46% (  0.25) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 1-0 @ 8.36% (  0.09) 2-1 @ 8.26% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.81% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 3.83% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.69% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.69% | 1-1 @ 11.87% (  0.06) 0-0 @ 6.01% (  0.11) 2-2 @ 5.87% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.29% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.54% (  0.11) 1-2 @ 8.44% (  0) 0-2 @ 6.07% (  0.05) 1-3 @ 4% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% (  -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.42% (  -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% (  -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% (  -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.08% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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