Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 Freiburg
Sunday, April 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, April 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 4-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 2-1 Mainz 05
Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the potential to be a thoroughly-competitive fixture that could go either way. Mainz will back themselves to earn at least a draw, yet we fancy Freiburg to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.01% ( 1.81) | 22.12% ( 0.05) | 25.87% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( -1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
