

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Cove Rangers | 
| 30.82% ( | 24.84% ( | 44.34% ( | 
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.6% ( | 46.4% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.32% ( | 68.68% ( | 
| Montrose Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.67% ( | 28.33% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.94% ( | 64.06% ( | 
| Cove Rangers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.02% ( | 20.98% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.26% ( | 53.74% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Montrose | Draw | Cove Rangers | 
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 2-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.82%  | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84%  | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 2-3 @ 3% ( 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.34%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
