Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 45.56% ( | 24.65% ( | 29.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( | 46.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.68% ( | 68.32% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( | 20.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.36% ( | 52.64% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( | 28.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.32% ( | 64.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
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