

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 40.35% (  -0.24) | 25.25% (  -0.06) | 34.4% (  0.3) | 
| Both teams to score 56.55% (  0.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.92% (  0.33) | 47.08% (  -0.33) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.68% (  0.31) | 69.32% (  -0.31) | 
| Cove Rangers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.84% (  0.03) | 23.16% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.97% (  0.04) | 57.03% (  -0.04) | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.59% (  0.34) | 26.41% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.43% (  0.45) | 61.57% (  -0.45) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 1-0 @ 8.95% (  -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.71% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.54% (  -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.25% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.19% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% (  0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 11.91% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.12% (  -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.8% (  0.04) 3-3 @ 1.26% (  0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.14% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.93% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 5.42% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 3.52% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 2.58% (  0.04) 0-3 @ 2.41% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 1.17% (  0.03) Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.4% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
