Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.