Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.