Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.