Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.