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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 1pm UK
CNG Stadium
Notts County

Harrogate
1 - 3
Notts County

Muldoon (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abbott (33'), Grant (51', 76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Cheltenham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Notts County

A closely-contested battle between one of League Two's in-form home teams against the second-best away side in the division is set to take place. Notts County will be keen to build up some positive momentum ahead of a possible playoff campaign, but we can see a buoyant Harrogate outfit claiming at least a share of the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
32.66% (0.062000000000005 0.06) 24.91% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 42.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (0.327 0.33)46.01% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (0.31 0.31)68.31% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.19600000000001 0.2)26.95% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.257 0.26)62.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.143 0.14)21.69% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (0.216 0.22)54.84% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 32.66%
    Notts County 42.43%
    Draw 24.91%
Harrogate TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.43%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Notts County

Harrogate Town
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Notts County
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Notts County
1-0
Harrogate
Jatta (58')
Tsaroulla (88')

Folarin (72'), Weaver (73'), Daly (83')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
3-0
Harrogate
Langstaff (45+2' pen.), Jones (75'), O'Brien (89')
Cameron (48'), Baldwin (56'), O'Brien (80')

Thomson (45+5')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (7'), Odoh (32'), Daly (68')
Cornelius (26'), Ramsay (65')
Jones (67')
O'Brien (51'), Chicksen (54'), Baldwin (57')
Aug 2, 2020 3pm
Harrogate
3-1
Notts County
Thomson (5'), Hall (28'), Diamond (70')
Hall (58'), Kerry (83')
Roberts (46')
Bagan (27'), Roberts (52')
Apr 7, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4523121071492281
2Port Vale452214965452080
3Bradford CityBradford4521121263451875
4Walsall4520141174542074
5Notts County4520121367472072
6AFC Wimbledon4519131355352070
7Salford City4518141362521068
8Grimsby Town45208176166-568
9Chesterfield4518131472541867
10Colchester UnitedColchester451618115247566
11Bromley451615146159263
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe451517134947262
13Swindon TownSwindon451516147163861
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood451515156059160
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham451612176067-760
16BarrowBarrow451513175250258
17Gillingham451316164046-655
18MK Dons45149225266-1451
19Accrington StanleyAccrington451214195368-1550
20Harrogate TownHarrogate451311214160-1950
21Newport CountyNewport451310225172-2149
22Tranmere RoversTranmere451115194164-2348
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle451011244269-2741
24Morecambe45106293970-3136


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