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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
MK Dons

Notts County
3 - 0
MK Dons

McGoldrick (47'), Tsaroulla (54'), Jarvis (74')
Palmer (52'), Edwards (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson-Sommers (34'), Gilbey (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-4 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-0 MK Dons

Having conceded four times at home to Fleetwood at the weekend, MK Dons will not necessarily be feeling confident about this assignment. With Notts County back to winning ways last time out, we are predicting that they will come through with a solid performance and win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
50.2% (-0.586 -0.59) 23.44% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 26.36% (0.576 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.52099999999999 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (0.433 0.43)42.88% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (0.429 0.43)65.28% (-0.428 -0.43)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)17.19% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)47.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (0.673 0.67)29.69% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (0.81 0.81)65.74% (-0.807 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 50.2%
    MK Dons 26.36%
    Draw 23.44%
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.106 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 26.36%

How you voted: Notts County vs MK Dons

Notts County
84.1%
Draw
9.1%
MK Dons
6.8%
44
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
MK Dons
0-2
Notts County

Kelly (9'), White (18')
Abbott (57'), Crowley (71')
Maynard (10'), Austin (39'), Palmer (82'), Bass (87')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Notts County
3-3
MK Dons
Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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