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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
MK Dons

Notts County
3 - 0
MK Dons

McGoldrick (47'), Tsaroulla (54'), Jarvis (74')
Palmer (52'), Edwards (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson-Sommers (34'), Gilbey (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-4 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-0 MK Dons

Having conceded four times at home to Fleetwood at the weekend, MK Dons will not necessarily be feeling confident about this assignment. With Notts County back to winning ways last time out, we are predicting that they will come through with a solid performance and win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
50.2% (-0.586 -0.59) 23.44% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 26.36% (0.576 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.52099999999999 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (0.433 0.43)42.88% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (0.429 0.43)65.28% (-0.428 -0.43)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)17.19% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)47.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (0.673 0.67)29.69% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (0.81 0.81)65.74% (-0.807 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 50.2%
    MK Dons 26.36%
    Draw 23.44%
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.106 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 26.36%

How you voted: Notts County vs MK Dons

Notts County
84.1%
Draw
9.1%
MK Dons
6.8%
44
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
MK Dons
0-2
Notts County

Kelly (9'), White (18')
Abbott (57'), Crowley (71')
Maynard (10'), Austin (39'), Palmer (82'), Bass (87')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Notts County
3-3
MK Dons
Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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