Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 7
May 17, 2025 at 3pm UK
Raatin stadion

Oulu
0 - 1
Mariehamn


Koskela (70'), Dumbuya (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dahlstrom (56' pen.)
Toivonen (43'), Fonsell (90+3')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Oulu and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oulu 2-3 Gnistan
Saturday, May 10 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Mariehamn 2-2 Inter Turku
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
OuluDrawIFK Mariehamn
45.25% (-0.353 -0.35)25.34% (0.39 0.39)29.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-1.301 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (-1.694 -1.69)49.24% (1.691 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (-1.547 -1.55)71.3% (1.544 1.54)
Oulu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.861 -0.86)21.75% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-1.331 -1.33)54.93% (1.328 1.33)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)30.74% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-1.069 -1.07)67% (1.066 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Oulu 45.25%
    IFK Mariehamn 29.4%
    Draw 25.34%
OuluDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.436 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.25%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.348 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.4%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 5
Oulu
1-2
Mariehamn
Coffey (38')
Barrow (19')
Larsson (28', 70')
Ojala (90')
Sep 1, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Mariehamn
2-1
Oulu
Larsson (47' pen., 53')
Sid (24'), Moustapha Amadou Sabo (43'), Cardoso (81')
Moustapha Amadou Sabo (86')
Holtta (28')
Holtta (20'), Jokelainen (79'), Andre (88'), Paananen (90+4')
May 17, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 7
Oulu
1-1
Mariehamn
Coffey (24')
Kallinen (68'), Holtta (87'), Dunwoody (90')
Cardoso (78')
Tehe Olawale (45'), Fonsell (70'), Ojala (74')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Oulu
3-2
Mariehamn
Karjalainen (24'), Coffey (35'), Breitenmoser (79')
Coffey (32')
Tehe Olawale (14'), Hopcutt (63')
Jul 9, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mariehamn
1-2
Oulu
Sumusalo (23')
Henriksson (39'), Cledson (42'), Ngueukam (45+3'), Sumusalo (59'), Coubronne (87')
Cledson (45+2')
Karjalainen (41' pen.), Morais (54')
Daoussi (13'), Morais (85')