Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
4 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Begraoui (6', 8', 23'), Lacximicant (20')
Holsgrove (25'), Amaral (70')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Ruiz (25'), Lopes (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 AVS
Sunday, May 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Estrela Amadora
39.69% ( -0.51)	27.12% ( -0.12)	33.19% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.86% (

0.61)

55.14% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61% (

0.5)

76.38% (

-0.5)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

27.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

0.01)

62.57% (

-0.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

0.73)

31.12% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

0.85)

67.45% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 39.69%

Estrela Amadora 33.19%

Draw 27.12%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.69%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.19%