Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Estrela Amadora

Rio Ave
2 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Clayton (65', 79' pen.), Neto (90+7')
Bakoulas (20'), Vrousai (22'), Clayton (38'), Novais (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martins Travassos (17'), Kikas (22'), Ruiz (68'), Drame (77'), Varela (90+1'), Pinho (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Porto
Saturday, April 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawEstrela Amadora
45.96% (1.303 1.3)26.02% (-0.448 -0.45)28.02% (-0.856 -0.86)
Both teams to score 51.18% (0.816 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (1.314 1.31)52.75% (-1.313 -1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (1.111 1.11)74.38% (-1.111 -1.11)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (1.19 1.19)22.91% (-1.19 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (1.722 1.72)56.67% (-1.721 -1.72)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.034000000000006 0.03)33.6% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)70.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 45.95%
    Estrela Amadora 28.02%
    Draw 26.02%
Rio AveDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.173 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.236 0.24)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.408 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.437 -0.44)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.02%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora

Rio Ave
37.5%
Draw
50.0%
Estrela Amadora
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2024 8.45pm
Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
1-0
Rio Ave
Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (37')
Martins Travassos (58'), Jesus (81'), Bucca (90+10'), Cabral (90+3')

Novais (52'), Morais (82'), Aguilera (90+8')
Petit (90+9'), Neto (90+13')
Apr 14, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 29
Estrela Amadora
2-2
Rio Ave
Cordeiro (43'), Kikas (88')
Lima (29'), Nanu (45+1')
Aderlan (12'), Vrousai (90+9')
Patrick (86')
Dec 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Rio Ave
1-1
Estrela Amadora
Aderlan (81')
Oudrhiri (21'), Rodrigues (66'), Graca (90+5'), Nobrega (90+1')
Sa (86' og.)
Pereira Martins (25')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524


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