Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
45.96% (![]() | 26.02% (![]() | 28.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.25% (![]() | 52.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% (![]() | 74.38% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% (![]() | 22.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% (![]() | 56.67% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% (![]() | 33.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% (![]() | 70.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 11.34% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 12.37% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.4% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
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