Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.57%) and 0-3 (11.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Porto |
8.15% (![]() | 16.22% (![]() | 75.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% (![]() | 44.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% (![]() | 66.84% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.51% (![]() | 54.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.42% (![]() | 87.57% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.96% (![]() | 10.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.88% (![]() | 33.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 3.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.5% Total : 8.15% | 1-1 @ 7.64% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.22% | 0-2 @ 14.45% (![]() 0-1 @ 12.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 11.07% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 75.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |