

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.57%) and 0-3 (11.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Porto |
| 8.15% ( | 16.22% ( | 75.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( | 44.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( | 66.84% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.51% ( | 54.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.42% ( | 87.57% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.96% ( | 10.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.88% ( | 33.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.32% ( 2-1 @ 2.32% ( 2-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.5% Total : 8.15% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 2-2 @ 2.66% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.22% | 0-2 @ 14.45% ( 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-3 @ 11.07% ( 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 1-3 @ 6.72% ( 0-4 @ 6.36% ( 1-4 @ 3.86% ( 0-5 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-5 @ 1.78% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-6 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 75.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
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