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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
AVS

Mora Carvalho (18'), Vieira (61')
Varela (60'), Perez (88'), Franco (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez Elduayen (45+1'), Lopes (50'), Teixeira (55')
Rodriguez Elduayen (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Porto
Saturday, March 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-1 Arouca
Saturday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 2-0 AVS

While Porto's inconsistency has been evident, with their struggles to turn draws into wins at home compounding their woes, they should still have enough to overcome an AVS side that has also struggled on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for AVS had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawAVS
76.43% (-1.006 -1.01) 15.36% (0.6 0.6) 8.2% (0.403 0.4)
Both teams to score 44.2% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.75% (-1.418 -1.42)40.24% (1.414 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.38% (-1.477 -1.48)62.61% (1.472 1.47)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.2% (-0.56700000000001 -0.57)8.79% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.82% (-1.395 -1.4)30.17% (1.39 1.39)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.47% (0.012 0.01)51.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.3% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)85.69% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Porto 76.42%
    AVS 8.2%
    Draw 15.36%
PortoDrawAVS
2-0 @ 13.39% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.42 0.42)
3-0 @ 10.85% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 6.6% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-1 @ 4.37% (-0.184 -0.18)
5-0 @ 3.21% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.3% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 76.42%
1-1 @ 7.3% (0.283 0.28)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.289 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.36%
0-1 @ 3% (0.193 0.19)
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 1% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 8.2%

How you voted: Porto vs AVS

Porto
100%
Draw
0.0%
AVS
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
AVS
0-5
Porto

Assuncao (41'), Grau (66')
Gonzalez (22'), Omorodion (32', 38', 45+1'), Mora Carvalho (88')
Bruno (42'), Varela (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica31243480255575
2Sporting Lisbon30226278255372
3Braga31197552262664
4Porto31195757282962
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes311312644321251
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara31155113129250
7FamalicaoFamalicao31111194034644
8Casa Pia30118113538-341
9Estoril PraiaEstoril30109113848-1039
10MoreirenseMoreirense3199133645-936
11Nacional3196162842-1433
12AroucaArouca3189143047-1733
13Rio AveRio Ave3189143351-1833
14Gil Vicente3188153143-1232
15Estrela Amadora3178162443-1929
16AVS31412152355-3224
17SC FarenseFarense3149182042-2221
18BoavistaBoavista3056192047-2721


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