Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for AVS had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.