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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 2, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Defensa y Justicia

Independiente Rivadavia
3 - 2
Defensa

Gomez (18'), Sartori (71'), Cardillo (82')
Retamar (61')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Perez (35'), Togni (44')
Rubio (54'), Gonzalez (61'), Aguilera (63'), Larralde (90')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-2 Independiente Rivadavia
Tuesday, April 29 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-2 Racing
Monday, April 28 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Rivadavia would win this match.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawDefensa y Justicia
36.28% (-0.491 -0.49) 28.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 35.23% (0.522 0.52)
Both teams to score 46.33% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (0.13200000000001 0.13)60.04% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.73% (0.101 0.1)80.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.244 -0.24)31.59% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.281 -0.28)67.99% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (0.41000000000001 0.41)32.27% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (0.463 0.46)68.76% (-0.464 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 36.27%
    Defensa y Justicia 35.23%
    Draw 28.48%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.19% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 11.53% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.23%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2024 1am
Gameweek 14
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0
Defensa
Romero (7' pen.)
Milo (47'), Ham (68'), Sequeira (75'), Villa (82'), Villalba (84')

Cannavo (34'), Ramirez (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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